Welcome to Rundown reports! - journey of making an investment
In this report we are showing 5 key steps we should do at minimum before we buy a stock/make a investment! The core idea to help make a snap decision(in like 2 mins) for your selected company: BLBD and evaluate if it's a better/sound investment
Each Step is described in detail in the very bottom of this report.
“A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price..” ― Charlie Munger
Step 1: Is the business Good? - margins, return on capital, growing revenues, dilution of equity/shares, debt management [can they pay back debt in 5 years based on cash flows]
Step 2: Is the stock Cheap? - yields, business price, yields relative to SPY index, other opportunities
Step 3: Is the management Good? - skin in the game, consistent margins, leadership position in the market, how much debt they have taken, understand their incentives
Step 4: If this sounds like a good investment, the final puzzle is Why is market valuing it cheap?
Step 5: How many stocks to Buy/Sell? aka Position Sizing or Portfolio Construction
“Everybody’s got a different circle of competence. The important thing is not how big the circle is. The important thing is staying inside the circle.” ― Warren Buffet
As always do share your feedback using the help links, and do your due diligence, we appreciate you giving us the opportunity to serve you!
Each Step is described in detail in the very bottom of this report.
“A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price..” ― Charlie Munger
Step 1: Is the business Good? - margins, return on capital, growing revenues, dilution of equity/shares, debt management [can they pay back debt in 5 years based on cash flows]
Step 2: Is the stock Cheap? - yields, business price, yields relative to SPY index, other opportunities
Step 3: Is the management Good? - skin in the game, consistent margins, leadership position in the market, how much debt they have taken, understand their incentives
Step 4: If this sounds like a good investment, the final puzzle is Why is market valuing it cheap?
Step 5: How many stocks to Buy/Sell? aka Position Sizing or Portfolio Construction
“Everybody’s got a different circle of competence. The important thing is not how big the circle is. The important thing is staying inside the circle.” ― Warren Buffet
As always do share your feedback using the help links, and do your due diligence, we appreciate you giving us the opportunity to serve you!
We have 14 report results for ticker: BLBD - Blue Bird Corporation, also organized by 15 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies
More details about the company.
- Financials Presentations: BLBD financial presentations
- News : Google News | Twitter News | Yahoo Finance News
Related Companies in Industry: auto manufacturers,NOTE: we may not be tracking all of them!
- IS_BUSINESS_GOOD [5 reports]
- IS_STOCK_CHEAP [2 reports]
- REVERSE_DCF_RAW [2 reports]
- RAW [5 reports]
- MARGIN [1 reports]
- MARKET_BUSINESS_VALUE [1 reports]
- YIELD [1 reports]
- RETURNS [1 reports]
- REVENUE_GROWTH [1 reports]
- INCOME_GROWTH [1 reports]
- SHARES_OUTSTANDING [1 reports]
- VERTICAL_PER_SHARE_CALC_SUMMARY [1 reports]
- VERTICAL_REVENUE_SUMMARY [1 reports]
- VERTICAL_ASSETS_SUMMARY [1 reports]
- VERTICAL_PPNENET_SUMMARY [1 reports]
Tip: How to understand business better? Become a Business Analyst.
Research and ask the following questions - (Remember: Financial Analysis is good but numbers do not tell the whole story)
- Read the founding story of the business, understand why founders started the business
- Checkout Blue Bird Corporation business summary on YouTube
- Understand the unit economics and market potential
- Check why Customers love it? is it a low-cost producer and provide quality products
- Do a Customer study: by asking - Can you imagine doing your job without the Company Products? How is the Competition products?
- Ask Customers - Why is it better than other products in the market
- The Business needs to provide value to Customers at the end of day by improving productivity(save time) and scaling the user to do more and be cheap
- The most important: Does the current management have Skin in the Game, if stock drops will they be impacted, if no: run away from the Stock: BLBD
1. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:MARGIN report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Wall Street Drivers beta
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score
8.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- roe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['1403.6 is greater than equal to 10']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%, ROE matters for businesses like Insurance, Banks, Financials
- roce average for last 3 years
- insight: ['12.01 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- roic average for last 3 years
- insight: ['47.45 is greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['17.5 is greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
- roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['57.14 is greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%
Business Durability beta
🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- roa average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 12.01 wrt mean ratio: 4.257']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
- roe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1403.6 wrt mean ratio: 903.567']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
- roce average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 12.01 wrt mean ratio: 4.257']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
- roic average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 47.45 wrt mean ratio: 17.86']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital
- roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.5 wrt mean ratio: 4.273']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
- roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 57.14 wrt mean ratio: 14.197']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital
Want to see What Wall Street looks at for Quality companies? We are building a special AI based SecDiver scoring system
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
2. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:RETURNS report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Notes on the above Report:
Operating leverage is diff in YoY growth of operating income with Revenue, +ve number means business has leverage which is also marked by operating_leverage_status
Operating_leverage_status is business had operating leverage for year +ve else its 0
returns are calculated based on operating income as the numerator
assets: its the previous year assets, for year 2022 it wil be 2021 and so on
equity: its the previous year equity
roce: roce for the year is operating income divided by prev year (equity and debt)
roa: roa for the year is operating income divided by prev year assets
roe: roe for the year is operating income divided by prev year equity
roiic: its return on incremental invested capital(c) employed(previous year debt + previous year equity) in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiif: its return on incremental invested fixed(f) capital(previous year ppnenet) employed in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiic_income::operating_3: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 3 years divided by diff in capital for last 3 years
roiic_income::operating_5: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 5 years divided by diff in capital for last 5 years
_3, _5, _9 means 3 year diff, 5 year diff, 9 year diff to calculate these values
inf values in roiic and roiif means the business did not add any net new capital, diff in capital was negative for the two years compared against
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
Operating leverage is diff in YoY growth of operating income with Revenue, +ve number means business has leverage which is also marked by operating_leverage_status
Operating_leverage_status is business had operating leverage for year +ve else its 0
returns are calculated based on operating income as the numerator
assets: its the previous year assets, for year 2022 it wil be 2021 and so on
equity: its the previous year equity
roce: roce for the year is operating income divided by prev year (equity and debt)
roa: roa for the year is operating income divided by prev year assets
roe: roe for the year is operating income divided by prev year equity
roiic: its return on incremental invested capital(c) employed(previous year debt + previous year equity) in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiif: its return on incremental invested fixed(f) capital(previous year ppnenet) employed in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiic_income::operating_3: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 3 years divided by diff in capital for last 3 years
roiic_income::operating_5: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 5 years divided by diff in capital for last 5 years
_3, _5, _9 means 3 year diff, 5 year diff, 9 year diff to calculate these values
inf values in roiic and roiif means the business did not add any net new capital, diff in capital was negative for the two years compared against
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
3. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:REVENUE_GROWTH report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
| Ticker | Entry | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLBD | revenue_01_YoY | 18.92% | 41.49% | 17.05% | -22.20% | -13.71% |
| BLBD | revenue_03_YoY | 25.35% | 8.81% | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | revenue_05_YoY | 5.74% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
4. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:INCOME_GROWTH report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
| Ticker | Entry | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLBD | cashflow::fcf_01_YoY | -7.22% | -568.73% | -53.70% | 2693.07% | -104.12% |
| BLBD | cashflow::fcf_03_YoY | inf | inf | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | cashflow::fcf_05_YoY | 18.29% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | cashflow::realfcf_01_YoY | -11.35% | -494.89% | -52.15% | 895.51% | -114.07% |
| BLBD | cashflow::realfcf_03_YoY | inf | inf | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | cashflow::realfcf_05_YoY | 18.59% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::net_01_YoY | 343.25% | -152.04% | 15733.56% | -102.37% | -49.86% |
| BLBD | income::net_03_YoY | inf | 25.02% | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::net_05_YoY | 34.14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::operating_01_YoY | 169.72% | -226.92% | -724.04% | -70.35% | -49.82% |
| BLBD | income::operating_03_YoY | 177.47% | 32.93% | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::operating_05_YoY | 26.02% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Wall Street Drivers beta
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score
0.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- shares outstanding cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['4.04 is NOT less than equal to 2']
- mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
Want to see What Wall Street looks at for Quality companies? We are building a special AI based SecDiver scoring system
Sign up for FREE
Sign up for FREE
We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
5. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:SHARES_OUTSTANDING report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Valuation is the Key beta
💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score
5.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- pe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['29.59 is NOT less than equal to 15', '29.59 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
- pocf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['53.76 is NOT less than equal to 15', '53.76 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, POCF <=15 preferred
- pb average for last 3 years
- insight: ['92.56 is NOT less than equal to 2', '92.56 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred
- ps average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.71 is less than equal to 5', '0.71 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PS <=5 preferred
- evToEbitda average for last 3 years
- insight: ['1.64 is less than equal to 15', '1.64 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToEbitda <=15 preferred
- evToRevenue average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.81 is less than equal to 2', '0.81 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToRevenue <=2 preferred
Valuation Insights Relative to History beta
Score
7.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- pe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 29.59 wrt mean ratio: 31.785']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- pocf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 53.76 wrt mean ratio: 53.705']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- pb average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 92.56 wrt mean ratio: 83.98']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- ps average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.71 wrt mean ratio: 0.638']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToEbitda average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.64 wrt mean ratio: 10.715']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToRevenue average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.81 wrt mean ratio: 0.79']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
Want to see What Wall Street looks at for Quality companies? We are building a special AI based SecDiver scoring system
Sign up for FREE
Sign up for FREE
We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
1. Showing IS_STOCK_CHEAP:MARKET_BUSINESS_VALUE report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Notes on the above Report:
marketcap is derived by multipliying StockPrice times Shares, sometimes you may see 0, most likely we do not have shares count, please share using HELP link and we will get it fixed
realfcf: its fcf(freecashflow) - stockbasedcompensation(sbc)
fcf: its fcf(freecashflow) derived by doing cashflow::operating - capex
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
marketcap is derived by multipliying StockPrice times Shares, sometimes you may see 0, most likely we do not have shares count, please share using HELP link and we will get it fixed
realfcf: its fcf(freecashflow) - stockbasedcompensation(sbc)
fcf: its fcf(freecashflow) derived by doing cashflow::operating - capex
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
2. Showing IS_STOCK_CHEAP:YIELD report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. (new)Reverse DCF based on cashflow:operating(operating cash flow) for BLBD price: 40.8 as of date: 2025-06-16 [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
| Ticker | Entry | expectedGrowthRate_MarketIsPricing |
|---|---|---|
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 7 | 14.41% |
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 10 | 10.82% |
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 15 | 6.75% |
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 20 | 3.88% |
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 25 | 1.69% |
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 30 | -0.09% |
| BLBD | PE_YEAR_2034 = 40 | -2.84% |
| BLBD | input_data | {"marketcap": 1316534400.0, "cashflow_fcf_key": 111112000.0, "discount_rate": 0.1, "period": 10} |
| BLBD | input_data_url_param | input_data={"marketcap": 1316534400.0, "cashflow_fcf_key": 111112000.0, "discount_rate": 0.1, "period": 10} |
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Wall Street Drivers beta
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score
8.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- revenue cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['5.74 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
- cashflows cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['14.81 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- operating profits cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['26.02 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
- shares outstanding cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['4.04 is NOT less than equal to 2']
- mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
- net profits cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['34.14 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY
Business Durability beta
🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.06 wrt mean ratio: 0.012']
- margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.02']
- margin net running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.005']
Profits Matter beta
💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
- insight: ['68867666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
- positive operating profits average for last 3 years
- insight: ['50096000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
- positive net profits average for last 3 years
- insight: ['27866666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
Business Performance beta
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [2.58] for last 5 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 14.81, value_2: 5.74']
- mental_model: We want Cashflow to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
- Operating Leverage cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [4.53] for last 5 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 26.02, value_2: 5.74']
- mental_model: We want Operating Income to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
2. Showing REVERSE_DCF_RAW report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Wall Street Drivers beta
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score
8.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- revenue cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['5.74 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
- cashflows cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['14.81 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- operating profits cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['26.02 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
- shares outstanding cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['4.04 is NOT less than equal to 2']
- mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
- net profits cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['34.14 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY
- debt cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['-3.61 is less than equal to 2']
- mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
- sbc average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.08 is less than equal to 0.1']
- mental_model: We prefer Business which has lower sbc % wrt cashflow operating
- equity cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['65.19 is greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
- interestCoverage average for last 3 years
- insight: ['4.78 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer Business which can cover their interest payments with cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- leverage average for last 3 years
- insight: ['2.38 is less than equal to 5', '2.38 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- interestRate average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.09 is NOT less than equal to 0.05']
- mental_model: We prefer lower interest rate than the current prevailing interest rates, we want long term debt profile too
- roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['3010.16 is greater than equal to 10']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
Business Durability beta
🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.06 wrt mean ratio: 0.012']
- margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.02']
- margin net running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.005']
- rotc average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 53.09 wrt mean ratio: 18.597']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on tangible capital
- cash average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 72384666.67 wrt mean ratio: 42780555.557']
- mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
- roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.5 wrt mean ratio: 4.273']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
- roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 3010.16 wrt mean ratio: 2006.143']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
- rotc_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 70.96 wrt mean ratio: 20.46']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on tangible capital
Valuation is the Key beta
💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score
4.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- pe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['29.59 is NOT less than equal to 15', '29.59 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
- pocf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['53.76 is NOT less than equal to 15', '53.76 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, POCF <=15 preferred
- pb average for last 3 years
- insight: ['92.56 is NOT less than equal to 2', '92.56 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred
- ps average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.71 is less than equal to 5', '0.71 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PS <=5 preferred
- evToEbitda average for last 3 years
- insight: ['1.64 is less than equal to 15', '1.64 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToEbitda <=15 preferred
- evToOcf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['-0.11 is less than equal to 15', '-0.11 is NOT greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, POCF <=15 preferred
- evToRevenue average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.81 is less than equal to 2', '0.81 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToRevenue <=2 preferred
Business Trends last 3 years beta
Score
8.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- receivables running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.017']
- mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
- inventory running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.12 wrt mean ratio: 0.137']
- mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
- payables running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.12 wrt mean ratio: 0.113']
- mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
- capex running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.002']
- cash running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.07 wrt mean ratio: 0.047']
- mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check
Profits Matter beta
💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
- insight: ['68867666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
- positive operating profits average for last 3 years
- insight: ['50096000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
- positive net profits average for last 3 years
- insight: ['27866666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
- mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
Capital Allocation beta
🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score
7.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: 0.708']
- depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.18 wrt mean ratio: 10.87']
- mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
- stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.785']
- cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.07 wrt mean ratio: 0.047']
- cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.08 wrt mean ratio: 3.963']
- cashToCapex running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 83.2 wrt mean ratio: 44.55']
Business Performance beta
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [2.58] for last 5 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 14.81, value_2: 5.74']
- mental_model: We want Cashflow to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
- Operating Leverage cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [4.53] for last 5 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 26.02, value_2: 5.74']
- mental_model: We want Operating Income to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
- Cash Cagr cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [1.1] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 71.42, value_2: 65.19']
- mental_model: We want Cash to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
- Debt wrt Revenue cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [-0.41] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -3.61, value_2: 8.81']
- mental_model: We want debt to grow less than revenue cagr
- Debt wrt Equity cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [-0.06] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -3.61, value_2: 65.19']
- mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity cagr
- Liabilities wrt Revenue cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [-0.08] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -0.7, value_2: 8.81']
- mental_model: We want Liabilities to grow less than Revenue cagr
- Liabilities wrt Assets cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [-0.06] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -0.7, value_2: 11.7']
- mental_model: We want Liabilities to grow less than Assets cagr
- Liabilities wrt Equity cagr for last 3 years
- insight: ['Ratio is [-0.01] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -0.7, value_2: 65.19']
- mental_model: We want Liabilities to grow less than equity cagr
Balance Sheet Quality beta
📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score
8.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 2.38 wrt mean ratio: 3.127']
- debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 2.44 wrt mean ratio: 20.417']
- interestCoverage average for last 3 years
- insight: ['4.78 is greater than equal to 3']
- mental_model: We prefer Business which can cover their interest payments
- leverage average for last 3 years
- insight: ['2.38 is less than equal to 5']
- mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years
- interestRate average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.09 is NOT less than equal to 0.05']
- mental_model: We prefer lower interest rate than the current prevailing interest rates, we want long term debt profile too
Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta
📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score
0.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- income_tax running_sum for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: 0.002']
Valuation Insights Relative to History beta
Score
7.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- pe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 29.59 wrt mean ratio: 31.785']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- pocf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 53.76 wrt mean ratio: 53.705']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- pb average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 92.56 wrt mean ratio: 83.98']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- ps average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.71 wrt mean ratio: 0.638']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToEbitda average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.64 wrt mean ratio: 10.715']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToOcf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: -0.11 wrt mean ratio: 25.648']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToRevenue average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.81 wrt mean ratio: 0.79']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
1. Showing RAW report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
5. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to ppnenet for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:MARGIN report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Valuation is the Key beta
💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score
5.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- pe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['29.59 is NOT less than equal to 15', '29.59 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
- pocf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['53.76 is NOT less than equal to 15', '53.76 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, POCF <=15 preferred
- pb average for last 3 years
- insight: ['92.56 is NOT less than equal to 2', '92.56 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred
- ps average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.71 is less than equal to 5', '0.71 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PS <=5 preferred
- evToEbitda average for last 3 years
- insight: ['1.64 is less than equal to 15', '1.64 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToEbitda <=15 preferred
- evToRevenue average for last 3 years
- insight: ['0.81 is less than equal to 2', '0.81 is greater than 0']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToRevenue <=2 preferred
Valuation Insights Relative to History beta
Score
7.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- pe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 29.59 wrt mean ratio: 31.785']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- pocf average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 53.76 wrt mean ratio: 53.705']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- pb average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 92.56 wrt mean ratio: 83.98']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- ps average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.71 wrt mean ratio: 0.638']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToEbitda average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.64 wrt mean ratio: 10.715']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
- evToRevenue average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.81 wrt mean ratio: 0.79']
- mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
1. Showing IS_STOCK_CHEAP:MARKET_BUSINESS_VALUE report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Notes on the above Report:
marketcap is derived by multipliying StockPrice times Shares, sometimes you may see 0, most likely we do not have shares count, please share using HELP link and we will get it fixed
realfcf: its fcf(freecashflow) - stockbasedcompensation(sbc)
fcf: its fcf(freecashflow) derived by doing cashflow::operating - capex
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
marketcap is derived by multipliying StockPrice times Shares, sometimes you may see 0, most likely we do not have shares count, please share using HELP link and we will get it fixed
realfcf: its fcf(freecashflow) - stockbasedcompensation(sbc)
fcf: its fcf(freecashflow) derived by doing cashflow::operating - capex
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
1. Showing IS_STOCK_CHEAP:YIELD report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Wall Street Drivers beta
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score
8.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- roe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['1403.6 is greater than equal to 10']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%, ROE matters for businesses like Insurance, Banks, Financials
- roce average for last 3 years
- insight: ['12.01 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- roic average for last 3 years
- insight: ['47.45 is greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
- roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['17.5 is greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
- roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['57.14 is greater than equal to 15']
- mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%
Business Durability beta
🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score
10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- roa average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 12.01 wrt mean ratio: 4.257']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
- roe average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1403.6 wrt mean ratio: 903.567']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
- roce average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 12.01 wrt mean ratio: 4.257']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
- roic average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 47.45 wrt mean ratio: 17.86']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital
- roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.5 wrt mean ratio: 4.273']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
- roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
- insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 57.14 wrt mean ratio: 14.197']
- mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
1. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:RETURNS report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Notes on the above Report:
Operating leverage is diff in YoY growth of operating income with Revenue, +ve number means business has leverage which is also marked by operating_leverage_status
Operating_leverage_status is business had operating leverage for year +ve else its 0
returns are calculated based on operating income as the numerator
assets: its the previous year assets, for year 2022 it wil be 2021 and so on
equity: its the previous year equity
roce: roce for the year is operating income divided by prev year (equity and debt)
roa: roa for the year is operating income divided by prev year assets
roe: roe for the year is operating income divided by prev year equity
roiic: its return on incremental invested capital(c) employed(previous year debt + previous year equity) in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiif: its return on incremental invested fixed(f) capital(previous year ppnenet) employed in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiic_income::operating_3: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 3 years divided by diff in capital for last 3 years
roiic_income::operating_5: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 5 years divided by diff in capital for last 5 years
_3, _5, _9 means 3 year diff, 5 year diff, 9 year diff to calculate these values
inf values in roiic and roiif means the business did not add any net new capital, diff in capital was negative for the two years compared against
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
Operating leverage is diff in YoY growth of operating income with Revenue, +ve number means business has leverage which is also marked by operating_leverage_status
Operating_leverage_status is business had operating leverage for year +ve else its 0
returns are calculated based on operating income as the numerator
assets: its the previous year assets, for year 2022 it wil be 2021 and so on
equity: its the previous year equity
roce: roce for the year is operating income divided by prev year (equity and debt)
roa: roa for the year is operating income divided by prev year assets
roe: roe for the year is operating income divided by prev year equity
roiic: its return on incremental invested capital(c) employed(previous year debt + previous year equity) in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiif: its return on incremental invested fixed(f) capital(previous year ppnenet) employed in the last x years(starting from the year associated)
roiic_income::operating_3: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 3 years divided by diff in capital for last 3 years
roiic_income::operating_5: means Numerator is diff in operating income for periods for last 5 years divided by diff in capital for last 5 years
_3, _5, _9 means 3 year diff, 5 year diff, 9 year diff to calculate these values
inf values in roiic and roiif means the business did not add any net new capital, diff in capital was negative for the two years compared against
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
1. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:REVENUE_GROWTH report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
| Ticker | Entry | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLBD | revenue_01_YoY | 18.92% | 41.49% | 17.05% | -22.20% | -13.71% |
| BLBD | revenue_03_YoY | 25.35% | 8.81% | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | revenue_05_YoY | 5.74% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:INCOME_GROWTH report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
| Ticker | Entry | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLBD | cashflow::fcf_01_YoY | -7.22% | -568.73% | -53.70% | 2693.07% | -104.12% |
| BLBD | cashflow::fcf_03_YoY | inf | inf | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | cashflow::fcf_05_YoY | 18.29% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | cashflow::realfcf_01_YoY | -11.35% | -494.89% | -52.15% | 895.51% | -114.07% |
| BLBD | cashflow::realfcf_03_YoY | inf | inf | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | cashflow::realfcf_05_YoY | 18.59% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::net_01_YoY | 343.25% | -152.04% | 15733.56% | -102.37% | -49.86% |
| BLBD | income::net_03_YoY | inf | 25.02% | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::net_05_YoY | 34.14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::operating_01_YoY | 169.72% | -226.92% | -724.04% | -70.35% | -49.82% |
| BLBD | income::operating_03_YoY | 177.47% | 32.93% | inf | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| BLBD | income::operating_05_YoY | 26.02% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plansDisclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
Wall Street Drivers beta
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score
0.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Free for Limited Time
Note: Free for Limited Time
- shares outstanding cagr for last 5 years
- insight: ['4.04 is NOT less than equal to 2']
- mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
Want to see What Wall Street looks at for Quality companies? We are building a special AI based SecDiver scoring system
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
1. Showing IS_BUSINESS_GOOD:SHARES_OUTSTANDING report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to ppnenet for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 40.8 as of 2025-06-16
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
Details on each step before making Buy Decision!
Step 1: Is the business Good?
1.1 A business is good if its earning more than its cost of capital, essentially - one of the return on capital metrics - roa, roe, roce >= 10% (should be greater than cost of capital)
1.1.1 Tip: Great businesses have return on capital >=15%
1.2 A business is good if its able to maintain its margins for a good period of time, thus maintaining its moat
1.2.1 Tip:High Gross Margin business are good as they perform better during inflationary times
1.2.2 Tip:Great business have >=20% margins OR they are a low cost producer of a commodity like Amazon, Costco, Walmart but with significant sales/revenue numbers
1.3 Revenue Growth is very important, that will help make it a X Bagger, is it growing above or below GDP growth rate 2% or more
1.4 NetIncome, OperatingIncome growth should also be similar to the Revenue Growth, this shows moat
1.5 Make sure company has a good financial historical record atleast for 10 years
1.6 Return on Tangible Capital : Work in Progress(WIP)
1.7 Return on Incremental Capital : Work in Progress(WIP)
1.8 Dilution/Stock Based compensation(sbc) impact - is the share count maintained or decreasing [understand stock splits, they are OK, nothing wrong there]
Step 2: Is the stock Cheap?
2.1 What is the current enterprise value if you want to buy it full (this includes marketcap plus debt)
2.2 What is the yield on the stock as compared to Fixed Investment/Bank CD/(Risk Free Rate)? does it have better yield than SPY (market index)
2.3 - Reverse DCF
2.4 - Expectations : Work in Progress(WIP)
2.5 - Compare with similar peers and SPY 500 index compare BLBD with SPY and V
Step 3: Is the management Good?
TBD : this report is Work in Progress(WIP)
3.1 Margins and Revenue growth tell us whether management is doing a good job or not
3.2 What is the Skin in the Game for the management, How much % of stock ownership does founders and C suite leadership have
Step 4: If this sounds like a good investment, the final puzzle is Why is market valuing it cheap?
TBD : this report is Work in Progress(WIP)
4.1 This will require a good amount of research and will need a journalist/scuttle butt mentality
4.2 We recommend understanding business segment kpis, geographical split, reading 10K, 10Q filings
4.3 hearing atleast 2 investor call to understand management and what analyst are focussing on, if available for the company
4.4 Typically a lot of homework has to be done before making a position
Step 5: How many stocks to Buy/Sell? aka Position Sizing or Portfolio Construction
5.1 The next step is Position Sizing, if you are not comfortable, start with 0.1% portfolio weight and slowly ramp to 1% buying on dips [not crossing more than 3%]
5.2 if you are super comfortable, start with 0.5% portfolio weight and ramping to 1% buying on dips [not crossing more than 5%]
“Everybody’s got a different circle of competence. The important thing is not how big the circle is. The important thing is staying inside the circle.” ― Warren Buffet
As always do share your feedback using the help links, and do your due diligence, we appreciate you giving us the opportunity to serve you!
1.1 A business is good if its earning more than its cost of capital, essentially - one of the return on capital metrics - roa, roe, roce >= 10% (should be greater than cost of capital)
1.1.1 Tip: Great businesses have return on capital >=15%
1.2 A business is good if its able to maintain its margins for a good period of time, thus maintaining its moat
1.2.1 Tip:High Gross Margin business are good as they perform better during inflationary times
1.2.2 Tip:Great business have >=20% margins OR they are a low cost producer of a commodity like Amazon, Costco, Walmart but with significant sales/revenue numbers
1.3 Revenue Growth is very important, that will help make it a X Bagger, is it growing above or below GDP growth rate 2% or more
1.4 NetIncome, OperatingIncome growth should also be similar to the Revenue Growth, this shows moat
1.5 Make sure company has a good financial historical record atleast for 10 years
1.6 Return on Tangible Capital : Work in Progress(WIP)
1.7 Return on Incremental Capital : Work in Progress(WIP)
1.8 Dilution/Stock Based compensation(sbc) impact - is the share count maintained or decreasing [understand stock splits, they are OK, nothing wrong there]
Step 2: Is the stock Cheap?
2.1 What is the current enterprise value if you want to buy it full (this includes marketcap plus debt)
2.2 What is the yield on the stock as compared to Fixed Investment/Bank CD/(Risk Free Rate)? does it have better yield than SPY (market index)
2.3 - Reverse DCF
2.4 - Expectations : Work in Progress(WIP)
2.5 - Compare with similar peers and SPY 500 index compare BLBD with SPY and V
Step 3: Is the management Good?
TBD : this report is Work in Progress(WIP)
3.1 Margins and Revenue growth tell us whether management is doing a good job or not
3.2 What is the Skin in the Game for the management, How much % of stock ownership does founders and C suite leadership have
Step 4: If this sounds like a good investment, the final puzzle is Why is market valuing it cheap?
TBD : this report is Work in Progress(WIP)
4.1 This will require a good amount of research and will need a journalist/scuttle butt mentality
4.2 We recommend understanding business segment kpis, geographical split, reading 10K, 10Q filings
4.3 hearing atleast 2 investor call to understand management and what analyst are focussing on, if available for the company
4.4 Typically a lot of homework has to be done before making a position
Step 5: How many stocks to Buy/Sell? aka Position Sizing or Portfolio Construction
5.1 The next step is Position Sizing, if you are not comfortable, start with 0.1% portfolio weight and slowly ramp to 1% buying on dips [not crossing more than 3%]
5.2 if you are super comfortable, start with 0.5% portfolio weight and ramping to 1% buying on dips [not crossing more than 5%]
“Everybody’s got a different circle of competence. The important thing is not how big the circle is. The important thing is staying inside the circle.” ― Warren Buffet
As always do share your feedback using the help links, and do your due diligence, we appreciate you giving us the opportunity to serve you!
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